Title
A predictive model implemented in knime based on learning analytics for timely decision making in virtual learning environments
Date Issued
01 February 2022
Access level
open access
Resource Type
journal article
Author(s)
Valderrama-Chauca E.D.
Cari-Mogrovejo L.H.
Apaza-Huanca J.M.
Sanchez-Ilabaca J.
Universidad Nacional de San Agustín de Arequipa
Publisher(s)
International Journal of Information and Education Technology
Abstract
The present research aims to implement a predictive model in the KNIME platform to analyze and compare the prediction of academic performance using data from a Learning Management System (LMS), identifying students at academic risk in order to generate timely and timely interventions. The CRISP-DM methodology was used, structured in six phases: Problem analysis, data analysis, data understanding, data preparation, modeling, evaluation and implementation. Based on the analysis of online learning behavior through 22 behavioral indicators observed in the LMS of the Faculty of Educational Sciences of the National University of San Agustin. These indicators are distributed in five dimensions: Academic Performance, Access, Homework, Social Aspects and Quizzes. The model has been implemented in the KNIME platform using the Simple Regression Tree Learner training algorithm. The total population consists of 30,000 student records from which a sample of 1,000 records has been taken by simple random sampling. The accuracy of the model for early prediction of students' academic performance is evaluated, the 22 observed behavioral indicators are compared with the means of academic performance in three courses. The prediction results of the implemented model are satisfactory where the mean absolute error compared to the mean of the first course was 3. 813 and with an accuracy of 89.7%, the mean absolute error compared to the mean of the second course was 2.809 with an accuracy of 94.2% and the mean absolute error compared to the mean of the third course was 2.779 with an accuracy of 93.8%. These results demonstrate that the proposed model can be used to predict students' future academic performance from an LMS data set.
Start page
91
End page
99
Volume
12
Issue
2
Language
English
OCDE Knowledge area
Ciencias de la computación Educación general (incluye capacitación, pedadogía) Matemáticas aplicadas
Scopus EID
2-s2.0-85121593658
Source
International Journal of Information and Education Technology
ISSN of the container
20103689
Conference
International Journal of Information and Education Technology
Sources of information: Directorio de Producción Científica Scopus